UKCCSC Theme B - Geological storage

Theme leader: Jonathan Pierce, British Geological Survey

• B1 - CO₂ storage integrity: pre-assessment
  
• B2 - UK Hydrocarbon fields and added value from CO₂
  
• B3 - UK offshore and onshore aquifers: injectivity and storage volumes
  

Assessing the cost, additional benefits (e.g. enhanced oil recovery), environmental implications, public acceptability and the role that CCS could play in future energy scenarios also all require major inputs from the characterisation and modelling of geological storage sites. Thus there will be major inputs from theme B: Geological Storage into theme E: Geographical Information System and theme A: Fossil Energy Systems themes including CO₂ transport topics.

Theme B1 - CO₂ storage integrity: pre-assessment

The prime objective of this topic is to combine state-of-the-art knowledge of storage issues with relevant expertise from other areas to provide an informed assessment. The integrity and performance of geological repositories is potentially the most contentious issue in all the stages involved in CCS. To gain acceptance with policy-makers, regulators and the public, it will be necessary to demonstrate that storage sites are both effective and safe. The definition of a robust site characterisation, performance prediction methodology and monitoring programme is likely to form a key component of a successful site licensing application.

Therefore, it is necessary to:

• Demonstrate that CO₂ could remain stored for periods in excess of 1000 – 10,000 years.
• Show that if a leak does occur, it is unlikely to pose a significant hazard at the surface.
• Investigate the effects of leakage to the surface, and ascertain the level of hazard this poses.
• Show that for more significant leaks, a remediation programme is feasible.
• Devise a remediation programme to address more significant leaks.
• Formulate a regulatory framework including verification for emissions credits and national inventories, site licensing including risk assessment, monitoring and site abandonment.
  

To do this it will be required to characterise the whole reservoir setting, identify risks and monitor injection, and validate predictive models of long-term CO₂ behaviour in the geosphere. Reservoir modelling is complicated, since the flow of multi-phase fluids (e.g. CO₂, water, gas, oil) is a difficult physical and chemical problem to understand. The chemical reactions between fluids and rocks vary in rate from seconds to millions of years and the kinetics of these reactions are poorly constrained. The processes of injection, flow and fluid and mineral reactions all cause modification of the reservoir. It is necessary to make predictions for periods up to 1000 times longer than it has been possible to directly observe reservoirs. This topic will make a rigorous evaluation of four, mutually-dependent projects considered critical for the site characterisation, reservoir modelling, risk assessment and regulatory framework development and are described more fully below:

B1.1a Caprocks and seals: permeability modelling

Leader: Andrew Aplin, University of Newcastle

Mud-rich caprocks and evaporites are the critical layers that will retain CO₂. It is essential to show that the mudrock seals are able to retain potentially chemically active CO₂ fluids for appropriate timescales.  One sub-project will estimate the potential reliability of caprocks overlying chosen UK candidate reservoirs. University of Newcastle (Prof A. Aplin, Kurtev) will develop a model to estimate the relative permeability of mudstones from pore size and connectivity data using both a modified capillary pressure-saturation approach and, with Heriot Watt, a pore network modelling approach.

B1.1b Caprocks and seals: Field studies  of naturally leaking mudrocks

Leaders: Stuart Haszeldine, University of Edinburgh; Zoe Shipton, University of Glasgow

B1.1c Well integrity studies; experiments on cement stability in CO₂

Leader: Geoffrey Maitland, Imperial College of Science and Technology

B1.2 Geochemical Responses to Storage

Leaders: Mike Bickle, University of Cambridge; Bruce Yardley, University of Leeds

The Universities of Cambridge & Leeds and the BGS will lead a project designed to assess the thermodynamics, kinetics and geochemical signatures of flow and reaction processes in reservoirs. The injection of CO₂, an acid gas, into reservoirs where it can interact with existing formation waters, leads to a lowering of pH that creates disequilibrium between pore waters and their host rock. Some impurity gases can have even more dramatic effects on pH.

Chemical reactions instigated by these pH changes may threaten the physical integrity of storage by dissolving solid phases, but can also lead to a permeability reduction through the precipitation of carbonate minerals and permanent fixation of CO₂. The fluid-fluid and fluid-solid reactions will moderate both the physical properties of the fluids and the permeability structure of the solids. Knowledge of these processes is therefore also critical to physical models of multiphase flow in reservoirs. Resolving what is likely to happen in any specific reservoir requires an understanding of the absolute and relative rates of a series of processes involving fluid-fluid and fluid-mineral interactions and because of variability of reservoir characteristics must be evaluated for specific sites. The project will:

1. identify the critical reactions and carry out kinetic experiments at the BGS hydrothermal laboratory
2. initiate development of a database of key fluid thermodynamic and reaction-kinetic properties in conjunction with researchers currently working on the physics of multi-phase flow at the BP Institute, Cambridge University
3. assess potential geochemical and isotopic monitors of fluid flow and reactions in reservoirs.
   

B1.3 Geophysical monitoring

Leader: Mike Kendall, University of Bristol; Andrew Chadwick, British Geological Survey; Quentin Fisher, University of Leeds

This project will generate an improved quantitative understanding of fluid-fluid and fluid-rock interaction through seismic monitoring using time-lapse 3D (4D) reflection techniques, which is the prime method for mapping subsurface fluid movement. As well as improving verification of stored volumes, the modelling will provide generic insights into how seismic response varies with CO₂ distribution in a porous reservoir. Results will help constrain reservoir simulations and provide guidelines for designing future, more sophisticated monitoring surveys. Precise quantification and location of CO₂ is critical for evaluating reservoir performance but has proved difficult when CO₂ is in solution. A number of more sophisticated techniques have proved effective at imaging other geological fluids and their application should substantially enhance our ability to image and quantify CO₂ and its movement in the repositories. The BGS will deploy wave propagation modelling techniques on the Sleipner Field (Norwegain North Sea CO₂ Storage project) CO₂ plume.

B2 UK Hydrocarbon fields and added value from CO₂

While recent DTI studies have indicated that at present North Sea operators are not actively interested in CO₂ injection for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) due unfavourable project economics, the North Sea oil and gas fields are an ideal location to store CO₂ since they offer known structural traps and infrastructure, and CO₂ injection can be used to boost hydrocarbon recovery. The economic benefit of EOR makes hydrocarbon fields likely early storage candidates. However, if EOR is delayed far into the next decade removal of the field infrastructure will mean that only a fraction the maximum potential capacity available will be left, creating some urgency in getting this technology adopted. An integrated assessment of CO₂ EOR will be performed with a detailed analysis of injection into two or three specific case studies.

B2.1 Near-field and reservoir characterisation

Leader: Stuart Haszeldine

Imperial College London will describe in detail candidate North Sea fields, especially trap structure and integrity, using data acquired from the BGS and collaborating North Sea oil operators, including data from the Maureen field for which geological models already exist. It is anticipated that reservoir descriptions will also be made available from Forties, including a previous feasibility study for CO₂ EOR, and other fields.

B2.2 Subsurface flow modelling

Leader: Martin Blunt, Imperial College of Science and Technology

This will involve the assessment by the Universities of Edinburgh and Leeds of CO₂ injection in order to maximise storage and to determine the long-term fate of CO₂. Traditional reservoir simulation methods will be combined with streamline-based simulation, which will include rate-limited geochemistry, dispersion and phase exchange between hydrocarbon, CO₂ and aqueous phases. It will be validated by comparison with conventional grid-based codes. The uncertainty of the location and fate of CO₂ will be quantified. The effects of faults on EOR/CO₂ injection will be included by incorporating fault rock properties using state-of-the-art software from the University of Leeds. The fault rock properties included in the model will be taken from the extensive North Sea database at University of Leeds.

B2.3 Phase behaviour and injectivity in CO₂/EOR processes

Leader Fatosh Gozalpour, Heriot-Watt University

A multiphase compositional phase behaviour model will be developed at Heriot-Watt University to determine the relative amounts and compositions of gas, liquid and solid phases present during CO₂ injection. The model will be verified against laboratory measurements. Depending on the reservoir conditions, up to five separate phases can exist in the reservoir:

• vapour
• CO₂ rich-supercritical fluid (halfway between a liquid and a gas)
  
• hydrocarbon-rich liquid
• aqueous phase
• solid (asphaltene & hydrate).
  

It is necessary for a phase behaviour model to handle the mutual solubility of CO₂ and hydrocarbons with water, because CO₂ solubility in water can be significant. This which will reduce the available CO₂ to displace the oil, resulting in a reduction in oil recovery, but will increase CO₂ storage. The simulation models will be used by the Applied Geophysics Group at Leeds University to assess when and where best to apply time-lapse seismic to monitor CO₂ movement within the specific reservoirs being assessed as potential sites for storage.

B2.4 Economic analysis

Leader: Alex Kemp, University of Aberdeen

The economic aspects of CO2 capture, storage and EOR in oil/gas fields in the UK sector of the North Sea will be assessed by the University of Aberdeen. Estimates of capture and transportation costs to potential North Sea storage and/or EOR fields will be made, in conjunction with the results from other themes and strong links will be developed with theme E (GIS). The financial modelling will estimate the benefits of additional oil production and the deferral of decommissioning of platforms. Calculating the national costs and returns will include the benefit of the value of reduced CO₂ emissions and the impact of taxation. The risks and uncertainties involved can conveniently be examined through Monte Carlo techniques. The end result would be estimates of the net present values at various discount rates of a range of potential schemes.

B3 UK offshore & onshore aquifers: injectivity and storage volumes

Leaders: Sam Holloway, British Geological Survey; Stuart Haszeldine, University of Edinburgh

This topic will characterise selected aquifer storage sites, and improve estimates of UK aquifer storage capacity. Outputs and data will input to the economic analysis and integrated assessment. Saline aquifers represent a significant proportion of total UK capacity for geological storage (previous estimates for aquifers are ~70,200MT CO₂ compared to ~14,900MT CO₂ for hydrocarbon fields). However, unlike hydrocarbon fields, where extensive exploration has produced large datasets, there is much less data available for saline aquifers. Consequently, the accuracy of previous aquifer capacity estimates is much lower than for hydrocarbon fields. The data generated will further populate and improve functionality of an existing UK CO₂ storage GIS to create a CO₂ Source/Sink Decision Support System (DSS) - see theme E (GIS). The principal goals are to:

1. Characterize selected potential offshore sites both east and west of the UK, to a level at which their efficacy and storage capacity can be judged and costs of storage can be incorporated meaningfully into wider energy systems analysis. This will include some ‘reservoir quality’ analyses.
2. Significantly reduce uncertainty in previous estimates of UK aquifer storage capacity.
3. Upgrade the existing DSS by entering key datasets of current and planned industrial CO₂ sources, potential pipeline routes and sinks, which will be obtained from both outside and inside the project.
4. Improve GIS functionality to a level at which it can provide meaningful technical, economic, environmental and social information to assess different CCS scenarios.